<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" ?>
  <rss version="2.0" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/">
    <channel>
        <title>Hannie Liu</title>
        <link>https://www.hannieliu.com</link>
        <description>This is HL's RSS feed</description>
        <item>
          <title>Venture Capital: Game of Thrones</title>
          <link>https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/260503-venture-capital</link>
          <description></description>
          <content:encoded><![CDATA[In the era of AI, everyone is searching for their long-term value in the middle of immense noise.

Venture capital itself is no exception.

I still remember [the moment](https://www.hannieliu.com/story/250808-day0-vc) I became seriously interested in this industry and began to see it as the next field I wanted to go deep in for the long run.
I wrote an article exploring whether vc could be automated.  

In just two to three months, the [article](https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-native-vcs-people-automation-everything-between-hannie-liu-xzcjc) became the top source reference for Google AI Overview and made it onto the first page of SEO results.

The response I heard most often was simple: venture capital is a people business.
Even some of the biggest names in the field went on podcasts to explain why they would not be replaced.  

AI has unquestionably changed every industry. 
What I am trying to understand is whether it changes how each player is positioned.

For some reason, it always brings me back to the feeling of walking into Vegas.

To some, it is a gambling ground, dangerous and strangely seductive.  
Others come prepared, armed with card-counting skills and the discipline to win.  
And some move by instinct alone, letting luck do the rest.

We are all playing at the same table, like a game of Texas Hold'em,  though I know this comparison is hardly new in venture.

Some gravitate toward the high-end casinos, in suits, drinking wine.  
Others prefer the tables crowded with tourists, where practiced players can read the room and profit from it.

Some strategies endure.  
Others are just flashy bluffs.

So who wins in the end? Can this ever become a winner-take-all game?


My long-term view of the game is this:  
venture capital claims its position through information asymmetry, amplifies outcomes through capital leverage, and compounds valuation through narrative.

At the same time, its function is to act as both a translator and a monetizer of information, turning signal into something the market can understand and price.

Every firm and every angel operates inside this system, a system of resource allocation and information exchange. 


 The real winner will not be the one who simply wins inside the game, but the one who redesigns the terrain itself, the way Vegas once turned desert into an oasis, and becomes the infrastructure of the next era.


## Observation

A people business.  

I have heard that line attached to this industry more times than I can count. 
There are already countless attempts to explain how venture capital strategy and operations will shift in the next era. 
These are the three versions that come up most often.


Bill Gurley, a General Partner at Benchmark Capital, frames venture capital as a sales business, and the highest level of sales is always a people business. 

You are selling to LPs when you ask them to place their capital with you instead of another GP. 
You are selling to founders when you want the best of them to choose you over Sequoia or a16z. 
And you are still selling after the investment, helping portfolio companies sell products to customers, vision to talent, and shares to the next round of investors (oops).

Then there is a16z, which comes up in what feels like 80 percent of my conversations with other partners in venture. 
In this era of information overflow, accelerated by AI-generated content, everyone is fighting for attention. 
In some sense, that shift began with social media, when everyone was handed, at least theoretically, an equal voice and the ability to make enough noise to be heard. 

It is no surprise, then, that a16z's framing, "Andreessen Horowitz is a media company that monetises through venture capital," leaves such a strong impression.

From day one, Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz saw a16z as the tech industry's version of CAA, Creative Artists Agency, Hollywood's top talent agency. Under that logic, venture capital is not merely capital. It is a business of helping founders build a brand, claim the narrative, and win the perception battle, which, to be honest, is not where most tech bros are strongest.

The last logic I find underrated is one I heard from Chamath on the All-In Podcast.
His point is straightforward: early-stage VC makes money through information asymmetry. 

The true edge lies in knowing earlier than the market which companies are worth betting on, and that informational gap is the source of alpha. 
Scale, however, comes through asset gathering. 
Once the information edge is gone, or the fund grows too large to remain agile, the model degrades into repeatedly raising bigger funds to harvest management fees.

## System
Venture capital is not merely money. 
More accurately, it is an infrastructure for resource allocation and narrative distribution.

#### Game
To most people, venture capital looks like rich people betting on the future. 
At its core, however, it is a deeply structured mechanism of time arbitrage, one that operates in collaboration with startups.

Venture capital is more than backing startups. 
In early markets where information is radically uneven, it is the practice of pre-pricing future cash flows through conviction, control of resources, and mastery of exit timing.

The **bet** is not merely on the founders, but on the combined tangible and intangible assets of a company before the market fully recognizes their value.
Their familiarity with capital cycles allows them to sense when a technology story is about to be seen, believed, and repriced by the broader market.

In essence, it is a game of calculated risk. Knowing earlier is not enough, you also have to be willing to place the bet.

Although VC valuation logic often appears detached from reality, at one level it is really a lag in how information moves through the market, provided that the bet is not just an emotional one driven by FOMO.

In venture capital, uncertainty is not something to eliminate, but something to manage, price, and sell.  

They enter at a lower valuation, then raise it through follow-on investment or by bringing in co-investors, creating unrealized gains on paper.  
This engineered form of mark-up is what makes venture returns look so sharply asymmetrical.

The danger is that once the exit window narrows, those layered valuations can unwind fast, wiping out paper wealth in a moment.
The prosperity of the VC industry depends on an illusion of liquidity. As long as the next round of capital arrives, the valuation holds. 

In the end, the outcome depends not only on picking well, but on exiting at precisely the right time.  


#### Acceleration
Many founders think venture risk lies in ideas and innovation. More often, it lies in limited time and the movement of information.

Startups need capital to accelerate, and in doing so they bear execution risk. Venture investors seek leverage on execution, and bear liquidity risk. The market, meanwhile, bears narrative risk. 
Once capital enters the company, growth is forced to accelerate, and both product iteration and revenue storytelling are put on a countdown.  

Founders and investors are locked into the same pressure cycle, where products risk being shaped less for users and more for the next round of fundraising.

The team must constantly balance what is true with what can still be sold as a story.


#### Narrative
Ordinary investors listen to industry consensus shaped by capital and the media, then chase the concepts currently in fashion. 
Elite investors do not chase the wave, they manufacture it, then amplify the story until it moves market sentiment.

They control key narrative moments, amplify industry emotion, and then use that momentum to exit.
It is ultimately a game of cognitive control. Technology may be the material, but sentiment is the actual currency.

The craft lies in narrative engineering: whoever tells the first story the market can accept and believe gains the power to reshape the valuation model.  

Exiting does not conclude the game, it sets the next cycle in motion.



## Hierarchy
I have asked myself more than once why, within such a wide and varied financial world, I feel most drawn to venture investing.
If you are obsessed with numbers, you go to a quant firm.
If you believe in Buffett's investing philosophy, you choose the public markets.

What draws me to venture investing is not only its geeky, deeply engineered nature, which I naturally love. It is also the fact that its information is not merely circulated, but actively created. 

The hierarchy of information is the first moat of power.

#### Layer 1
At the lowest level is the public information we encounter every day.

News, earnings, press events, and the rest.
If you make decisions from the news, you are driving by looking through the rearview mirror. 

Still, this is where most people remain, working off information that is not just secondhand or thirdhand, but many layers removed, and using it to make decisions across every part of their lives.


#### Layer 2
Above that is insider information, the kind shared in closed rooms, invite-only events, and networks where information circulates quietly among members.
These are signals that only insiders can access.

They include what policies are being shaped, which sectors are seeing capital retreat, and which parts of the market are beginning to cool.
This layer is valuable, but it is not always safe.

The cards in your hand are rarely yours alone. Sometimes more than a hundred people already know them.


#### Layer 3
At the top layer, you become the source of information itself.

Your decisions affect the market, and sometimes extend their influence far beyond it.
Many people never come into contact with this level of access, either to the information or to the people who hold it. Not because they lack intelligence, but because what matters here is the importance of the node you occupy and the value of the resources attached to you.

If you want to move into this layer, you have to become someone worth exchanging information with.
Otherwise, you stay at the downstream end of the information chain.

This is also why I love technology, especially the zero-to-one stage.
It is a little funny, in hindsight.
> "I'm a scientist, because I invent, transform, create, and destroy for a living, and when I don't like something about the world, I change it."
>
> — Pickle Rick, *Rick and Morty*

If you have ever stood at the downstream end of the information chain, disruptive innovation becomes one of the few available moves.

You are trying to start with something small enough to be ignored, then let it ripple across layers, exchanges, and environments, until your thoughts become real, and reality turns you into a source of information others are willing to exchange for.]]></content:encoded>
          <pubDate>Sun, 03 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        </item>
<item>
          <title>Orchestrating Presence: The Arch of Social Capital</title>
          <link>https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/250730-social-capital</link>
          <description>Five months, four platforms, one clear lesson: authentic two-way interactions beat automated one-way broadcasting every time. Six practical strategies for building genuine social capital in an AI-saturated world.</description>
          <content:encoded><![CDATA[## TL;DR

1. __Social Proof:__ 
Make sure your bio shows what makes you uniquely you. 
People see it on the timeline or click into your profile. 
Most will leave in 5 seconds if it’s boring.

2. __Live Sharing:__
Share what you’re doing in real time. 
The cooler the thing, the more people usually follow. 
Post the projects you’re building, events you’re hosting, milestones you hit, 
places you go, or people you meet.

3. __Value Prop:__ 
Think about what you want to be known for. How do you want people to remember you?
When you hit 1,000–5,000 followers, people start remembering you for a specific label. 
Get clear on your positioning and double down on it.

4. __Quality over Quantity:__
Platforms reward original opinions and well-thought-out threads.
It rewards people with sharp, clear takes. Frequency doesn’t really matter. 
Good content travels on its own, whether you post 10 times a day or just once.

5. __Comments as Content:__ 
The fastest way to drive traffic is by leaving substantive, 
value-adding long comments under influential people's posts 
(not just replying "Great post").

6. __Niche Interaction:__ 
Make sure you regularly engage with 10 people in the same niche. 
Reply to people with a similar (or not-too-big) follower count so they’ll check out your content. 
This helps you get past 0–1 likes and reach more interactions.




## Background
Inspired by an [article](https://substack.com/home/post/p-3111935) discussing passive social impact and effortless knowledge gaining, 
I decided to start journaling everything of building my social capital.

There are many tools that can help automate certain tasks, like scheduling posts automatically. 
However, what I want to document here isn't just about the tools themselves, but something I believe is even more important: the architecture behind it.

Am I familiar with social media platforms? Definitely yes! My [first job](https://www.hannieliu.com/story/140901-cmo-zuvio) was in charge of marketing. 
But after I switched to the STEM field when I started grad school, my career seems to have drifted away from marketing and social media.

Let's just say this experiment is my way of testing whether my skills are still sharp lol. 
At the same time, I've been working in the AI field for many years, and I see this as a perfect opportunity to combine these two areas of expertise.



## Metrics and Journal
You can pick the metircs you care the most.
No need to feel anxious or presure of the numbers, take it easy like playing a game. 
It's an index to help you evaluate your direction, 
not something that should pressure you to shift gears.

<Accordion title="Beginning">
- Threads: 600 followers
- X: 49 followers
- LinkedIn: 1014 followers
- Substack: 18 subscribers
</Accordion>


<Accordion title="August">
From the numbers, there's a slight improvement, but it still hasn't reached content-market-fit. 
Posts on LinkedIn get better reach, but I notice more followers and comments on Threads. 
Most of the traffic on X and Substack still comes from friends rather than new people.
- Threads: 
    - 639 followers (+6.5%)
    - 27.1k views
- LinkedIn: 
    - 1029 followers (+1.5%)
    - 3431 impressions (+690.6%)
    - 1592 members reached (+651%)
- X: 55 followers (+12.2%)
- Substack: 19 subscribers (+5%)
</Accordion>


<Accordion title="September">
One of my posts hit 7k and brought me more traffic on Threads, making me familiar with how to design the strategy on it.
Apparently, the more effort/attention you put into it, the more views/impressions you get.

And I still can't decide on the content strategy for LinkedIn (makes sense with the decreased traffic).
X still maintains its role for making friends, and I spend more time on DMs with people or commenting on posts that weren't the viral ones.

Those social platforms brought traffic to my personal website, I can see the stats on the dashboard.
Highly recommend everyone/brand/company should have a "landing place" for your audience.

I also run two publications on Substack, but I don't want to consider them as my audience's landing place.
The reason is that I still feel safer keeping my own data or content assets (including traffic) on my own place. 
(Even though the platform can export everything like subscribers' emails.)
- Threads: 
    - 758 followers (+18.6%)
    - 46.8k views (+72.7%)
- LinkedIn: 
    - 1042 followers (+1.9%)
    - 1685 impressions (-50.8%)
    - 624 members reached (-60.8%)
- X: 67 followers (+21.8%)
- Website:
    - 164 visitors (+64%)
    - 364 page views (+52%)
- Substack (Chinese publication): 
    - 30 subscribers (+7.1%)
    - 107 30d views (+245.2%)
- Substack (English publication): 
    - 20 subscribers (+5.3%)
    - 47 30d views (+235.7%)
</Accordion>


<Accordion title="October">
Been paused and redesigning my strategy this month, partly because I'm going through a stagnation period.
Of course, running so many platforms at the same time is hard and a bit scatters my attention (and energy). 

But as someone who's good at generalist stuff, I write different topics. 
And putting them into the same platforms (or publications) makes me feel messy (maybe it's a bit OCD?). 
However, I didn't journal the numbers this month.
</Accordion>


<Accordion title="November">
Ultimately, we want to bring the traffic to the 'place' we want, and we hope to have control on our own, 
not on any other platforms with fixed, non-customized expression for our audience.

I was struggling when redesigning my strategy: 
should I own my newsletter website? Maybe Substack does better? 
Of course I use Substack - I love it. 
But when it comes to professional content, I prefer to host it myself. 
It's so cumbersome in the beginning, 
but I believe it's worth it from a long-term angle (the SEO, audience habits, etc.)


I divide the strategy into social media and publications. 
The former is for short posts, and the latter is for medium to long essays for deeper insights.

Just make sure each channel has its unique positioning and specific field so that audiences know what they will digest.

For social media, verified badges seem to work. 
In the beginning, I refused to pay for it - not sure of the value. 
But after a month's trial, yes, people trust the small blue check 
(I had a serious chat with my friends and we both agree on the benefits it brings).

For the cold start of a newsletter, it's faster to gain audience on existing channels. 
I started on LinkedIn and got hundreds of subscribers in the first day. 
Then I'll guide them to the website (where I can get their emails) later in the articles.

It's all about how you design the journey more smoothly. Put yourself into audiences' shoes.


**Social Medias**
- Threads: 
    - 813 followers (+7.2%)
    - 62.1k views (+32.7%)
- LinkedIn: 
    - 1061 followers (+1.8%)
    - 605 impressions (-64%)
- X: 97 followers (+44.7%)

**Publications**
- LinkedIn Newsletter (Venture Logbook)
    - 155 subscribers
    - 71 30d views
- Substack (Chinese publication): 
    - 32 subscribers (+3.2%)
    - 35 30d views (-67.2%)
- Substack (English publication): 
    - 23 subscribers (+15%)
    - 94 30d views (+100%)

**Websites**

- Persoanl:
    - 291 visitors (+77%)
    - 466 page views (+28%)
- Newsletter
    - 8 visitors
    - 28 page views
</Accordion>



<Accordion title="December">
Looking back at these numbers, I think the main reason is that I haven’t kept up consistent, steady output.
The biggest driver of my social media growth comes from people I meet offline.
I went to a social event and then got 100+ followers on Threads/X/LinkedIn.

I need to redesigning my strategy.

- Threads: 
    - 879 followers (+8.1%)
    - 13.6k views (-78%)

I’m realizing that on Threads (the platform I post on the most right now), 
the audience I want to attract isn’t really the audience that’s actually showing up. 
If anything, its whole ecosystem is very different from X.

People here are less tuned in to tech stuff compared to X. 
It’s not an information gap. 
It’s basically just a 10‑minute lag from X, but the overall vibe is different, 
whether that’s because of the algorithm or the crowd itself. 
(I even get the sense that AI isn’t exactly loved here.)

I’ve noticed some people from the tech scene on X slowly starting to post here too, 
but this still feels like a brand-new blue ocean.


- X: 
    - 100 followers (+3%)
    - 721 impressions (+80.7%)

“X is two weeks ahead of the world.”

That line isn’t fake. But I don’t think it’s about the information itself. 
It’s that some insider thoughts get posted here first. 
Then one day it spreads, and when everyone “finally gets it,” it turns viral.

The toxic part is that almost every post is judged by what value you bring. 
The usual value props are:
- Fast (super fast, first-hand info)
- Depth: Technical expertise posts or articles like AK's content
- Weirdness: Strange, unique, yet eye-catching posts


I updated my bio this month.
While my posts still haven’t formed their own unique recipe, 
this might be my best moment to grab attention first.




- LinkedIn: 
    - 1080 followers (+1.7%)
    - 874 impressions (+44%)

LinkedIn is a platform with high information density in posts. 
You don't need to post frequently, but the quality should really make people take something away or make them "feel" they learned something.

I personally love reading data analysis articles on there.
Peter does this really well in this area.
Clear visuals, consistency, and content that actually has substance.

At the same time, my friends and I have noticed a trend that more and more Gen Z are starting to post on there (possibly for job hunting, not limited to founders).
</Accordion>



## Takeaways

#### Know who your audiences are and pick the right channels
Just like in the classic marketing theory of the 4Ps, "Place" has always played an important role. 
It's about choosing the right channels and deciding how to distribute your message. 
In the online world, there are many channels, each with its own vibe. 
Make sure to really understand the atmosphere and get a sense of how people interact there before jumping in.

Some channels can be toxic. You can choose to avoid those, 
or find ways to handle the situation if you really need to be there because of its influence or reach.
It really depends on your field.
Try searching for the popular or trending channels to see where people are gathering.



#### Positioning yourself
When it comes to positioning on different social platforms, I once came across an interesting perspective. 
It pointed out the difference between Eastern and Western approaches: in many Eastern cultures, people are more likely to present different personas on different platforms. That happens to be my own approach as well.

Doing this has two benefits. First, it maintains consistency and quality within each platform. 
Second, by adjusting to the existing landscape of each channel, 
you may be able to carve out a unique voice even in a crowded space filled with countless influencers.

Positioning can be tricky. It's both simple and complicated at the same time. 
As the saying goes, "At first, a mountain is just a mountain. 
Then it's no longer just a mountain. And finally, it becomes a mountain again." 

You can choose to align your positioning with external dynamics and try to become who you want to be seen as, 
or you can stick to your own interests and simply "be yourself." 
The real challenge is balancing both: staying authentic to your style while still achieving the goals you're aiming for.

Positioning should not feel like a fixed box that limits you. 
Instead, it evolves with time and content, 
but it also gives you a way to check if what you share still aligns with your core values.




#### Two-way is better than One-way

As an internet native, I often find myself wondering about the essence of posting and interacting when social media and online content are flooded with AI-generated material.

The momentum that keeps me active on social media comes from genuine direct messages and conversations with people. Learning about what they've built and how they're working to change the world is the most powerful way to imagine the future.

Even though I'm skilled at automating workflows, I'm not interested in replying or commenting using fully AI-generated responses. It's perfectly fine to use tools that help me browse more efficiently and respond with my own thoughts, but I need authentic two-way interactions.

I believe I'm not the only one who desires this kind of authenticity. At the very least, a two-way approach should capture your attention for a meaningful moment—not just replying for the sake of replying.]]></content:encoded>
          <pubDate>Mon, 05 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        </item>
<item>
          <title>What&apos;s Missing in Today&apos;s Search Engines? Exploring the Role of AI</title>
          <link>https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/250331-search-engine</link>
          <description></description>
          <content:encoded><![CDATA[## Background
I was born in 1990, the same year that the first search engine, [Archie](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archie_(search_engine)), was born. When I was in elementary school, I was always excited to find the latest information from [Lycos](https://www.lycos.com/) (or [Ask Jeeves](https://www.webdesignmuseum.org/gallery/ask-jeeves-2000#google_vignette) in the later years). Consequently, in sixth grade, I took first place in the Search Information Competition.

When I conduct research using a search engine, whether it's market research for a company or academic research at graduate school, people who work with me frequently ask how I get the data and reports and turn them into insights. In today's terms, it's as if I had a built-in AI deep search system.

In this article, I try to break down user behavior and understand how AI fits into the overall picture.

## Key Numbers
- Approximately 16.4 billion searches are conducted on Google every day
- Google maintains an 80% dominance in this space, though its leadership faces challenges from AI-native alternatives. 
- Consumer adoption of AI-powered search is projected to surge by 2028, with 79% of users intending to adopt and over 70% trusting AI-generated results.


## Chain of Thought

#### Why do questions matter?
I remember when I was a child, my mom bought me the entire I Wonder Why children's book series. 
Then she expressed regret that I had asked ten questions for each (think how many questions I asked her in total). 
Some people's main purpose for seeking information is to make decisions and take action. 
For someone else, like me, to explore creativity while learning about the world around us.
> The questions you ask and the problems you focus on shape the world you leave behind.


#### What's the current path to information?
People seek information to help them make decisions in a variety of situations, including professional use such as the workplace, school, or personal life.

##### Workplace
In the workplace, information seeking is typically purpose-driven, with the goal of solving specific problems or improving job performance. 
Often use an internal database, knowledge-based search engine, and collaboration tools.

##### Academic

Information seeking is learning-focused and motivated by academic objectives like finishing projects, carrying out research, or increasing knowledge in schools and universities. 
Typically, use the library, learning management systems like Moodle and Google Classroom, and academic databases.

##### Personal
In general, people seek information based on their interests, hobbies, or daily needs. Search engines, social media and forums, and personal networks such as word-of-mouth are examples of diverse sources.


People prefer different values under different situations. For example, the source and accuracy of information are crucial in the workplace and in academia. 
Response time and accessibility may be more significant for personal use. The values drive our decision to use AI to help us consume information.



#### What to do with information?
The methods of providing information have evolved throughout time, from the internet to mobile phones to the AI era. From text to audio and video. 
From Twitter and TikTok to ChatGPT.  The context length varies depending on the type of information and influences how we absorb it and rely on the source.


The main problems we faced in the past years may have been data fragmentation, quality, and overload. How we process, store, and use information shapes our behavior and decision-making. 


I previously had a knowledge management hub (or knowledge base) in Evernote, Notion, and Heptabase.
Basically, the steps I took to organize the information were similar:

##### Select 
For me, searching is the easiest step; however, selecting the information I want from various channels is the challenge. 
Google is not always the first pick; it depends on the situation at hand. 
Some of my friends ask questions on social media to get answers. 
They are not just looking for information; rather, their friends are assisting them in filtering and selecting information in advance.


> Attention is all you need.


This is similar to the brain's attention bottleneck, which involves filtering out noise to focus on what is relevant. 
How to (effectively) select and filter depends on one's experience. We did it ourselves in the past, and in the age of social media, we outsourced. 
AI may now be able to do this for us.


##### Record
Once I had the information I needed, I categorized it into different categories. 
This is the stage where I will digest the information and convert it into personal knowledge. 
Sometimes I discover insights, but most of the time I just save them and hope to connect with other notes someday to turn them into new insights.


##### Retrieve
Most of the time, when I need to retrieve information or knowledge, it is during a mentor session, public sharing, or posting on social media. 
I like to know who my audience is so that I can deliver it in a way that they will like and find easier to consume. 
Friends used to describe my speaking style as robot-like (not the first time). 
Then I work hard to recall my old skill: telling a story. I'm glad that now I can speak in different tones to different people.





#### How AI bridges gaps on both backend and frontend?
There are tons of search engines that have exploded in popularity in recent years. 
In this paragraph, I want to break down into two parts: how search engines find information (the backend, or infrastructure) 
and how AI presents and delivers information to users (the frontend, or interface).

##### Frontend
[Morphic](https://www.morphic.sh/), an open-source search engine, was the one that I used frequently. I tried many, and none of them solved my search experience. 
I prefer visual results to plain text, as well as deep context length over rapid and brief answers (before deep research came out). 
However, if you prefer quick and short answers, Perplexity is your best option. 

From an interface viewpoint, not just the chat UI and follow-up questions provide users a new way to search. 
The power of AI in interface is also reflected in AI-generated UI, like [Flowith](flowith.io/). 
The browsing experience is entirely different than before. Instead of simply showing link retrieval, the above gives a new answer-generating experience.

##### Backend
When I first started researching this market, I wondered if we should build an AI-powered search engine to do what so many search engines did in the 1990s, such as ranking, indexing, and so on. 
Based on my knowledge of retrieval mechanics and my experience developing RAG, I understand that the power of neural search comes from semantic understanding via embeddings. 

AI here bridges the gap by capturing context and meaning, leading to more relevant results even when there's no exact keyword (the traditional method) match. 
Given the high cost (compute and storage) of neural search, what factors drive the tradeoff? 
What types of content and user queries are best suited for semantic indexing?

Keyword search (with LLMs) remains effective for precise names, unique identities, and a clear structure of information. 
While neural search works best when the user does not know the specific keywords, 
it also works well with rich, complex content such as knowledge bases, legal or technical documents, and user-generated content. 


[Glean](https://www.glean.com/) is a major player in the enterprise knowledge base market, 
[Harvey](https://www.harvey.ai/) is mentioned frequently in legal documents, 
and [Elicit](https://elicit.com/) has recently caught the attention of many researchers. 
Which market segment should neural search focus on right now to balance the tradeoffs?


## Think outside the box
I learned from a startup founder who is developing the agent that he has yet to determine the ideal UX for human-AI interaction. 
I believe it is similar in this field as well. By reviewing the CoT of this post, as a user and developer, what I expect is a new way to get information. 
Search engines are only one aspect, and they are also somewhat outdated, as shown by the history I mentioned earlier. 

On the other hand, if you're a Marvel fan, you can't ignore the intelligent assistant Jarvis. 
Now, we still interact by typing and reading in a search box. 
In my perspective, search engines are merely one form of engagement that isn't really interesting. 
People's behavior changes dramatically as they consume information, from Google to Facebook to TikTok. 
This generation may benefit from multi-dimensional experiences that include both visual and audio components.


I'm looking forward to more immersive and interactive experiences for users seeking information in the future.

## Citation

Yi-Han, Liu. (Mar 2025). "What's Missing in Today's Search Engines? Exploring the Role of AI". Hannie Liu. https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/250331-search-engine


## References

[1] Chang, S., & Chang, S. (2024, September 8). AI strategies for B2B and B2C: A Comparative Study in Marketing. RapidLeadsPro. https://rapidleadspro.com/ai-digital-marketing/ai-strategies-for-b2b-and-b2c/ 

[2] Discover thousands of collaborative articles on 2500+ skills. (n.d.). https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ai-enterprise-search-market-size-share-growth-drivers-bklnf/ 

[3] D’Souza, A., & Singh, R. (2023). Global API Marketplace Market Size, Share & Industry Trends Analysis Report by component (Platform and Services), by organization size, by end user, by regional outlook and forecast, 2023 - 2030. In KBV Research. https://www.kbvresearch.com/api-marketplace-market/ 

[4] IBISWorld, Inc. (n.d.). IBISWorld - industry market research, reports, and statistics. Copyright © 1999-2025 IBISWorld, Inc. https://www.ibisworld.com/united-states/market-size/search-engines/1982/ 

[5] Lown, P. (2025, January 7). Social media sentiment analysis: Benefits and guide for 2025. Sprout Social. https://sproutsocial.com/insights/social-media-sentiment-analysis/ 

[6] Madsen, K. (2025, January 7). Will AI grow bigger than Google search? 2020-2028 prediction. Morningscore. https://morningscore.io/will-ai-grow-bigger-than-google-search-2020-2028-statistics-and-my-predictions/ 

[7] Şanlı, F. (2024, September 3). Social Media Sentiment Analysis: Understanding Consumers. AlternaCX. https://alternacx.com/blog/social-media-sentiment-analysis-understanding-consumers/ 

[8] Search engine market share worldwide | StatCounter Global Stats. (n.d.). StatCounter Global Stats. https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share]]></content:encoded>
          <pubDate>Mon, 31 Mar 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        </item>
<item>
          <title>Knowing Where-From: Understanding the Trajectory of Tool Use</title>
          <link>https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/241110-tools-trajectory</link>
          <description></description>
          <content:encoded><![CDATA[## Background
When I was trying to find the tools to help me solve problems, 
I found so many scattered across the internet.
The [meme](https://miro.medium.com/v2/resize:fit:960/1*tIDnaCfEWFbMpTEH3UIaqg.jpeg) came to my mind.
Some people seem naturally good at using tools or finding resoruces, while others aren't.
I wonder what the difference is and what will it affects different aspects of life.


## Chain of Thought

#### How human and other creatures use tools?
- Stone tools were one of the earliest forms of tools used by humans. 
- Stone tools date back approximately 3.3 million years, marking the beginning of human reliance on tools for survival.
- The advent of agricultural tools around 10,000 years ago.
- Primates use tools to obtain food, gather resoruces and protect predators.
    - Capuchin monkeys
    - Bonono
    - Orangutan
- Some chimpanzee learnt to use tools without any instruction.
- Elephants use tools to retrieve food that is out of reach.
- Dolphins use tools to create nets to catch fish.
- Crows use rocks to crack open nuts.
- Leafcutter ants use tools to cultivate fungus for food.
- Termites use soil, saliva, and feces to construct complex mounds that provide shelter and protection from predators.
- Octopuses use shells to create shelter.

#### What's the motivation to use tools?
- Infants develop tool use around 18 months, driven by intrinsic motivation to explore and manipulate objects.
- The more intelligent people are, the more they use tools.
- The motivation to use tools in chimpanzees is driven by intrinsic predispositions, specifically a higher intrinsic motivation to manipulate objects compared to bonobos.
- Tool use provides a reproductive advantage.
- Animals are motivated to use tools as a means to adapt to their environments and improve their chances of survival and reproduction.
- Challenges and opportunities presented by an animal's surroundings can drive the motivation to learn and use tools effectively.
- Animals may learn to use tools by observing others, which can be driven by the need to adapt to their social and ecological contexts.

#### What's the learning path of tool use? How does that affect our cognitive?
- Planning abilities contribute to a gradual increase in task success.
- As planning strengthens, the likelihood of selecting the most effective action increases significantly. 
- Older infants can think and imagine longer about their actions, which allows them to understand the interactions between tools and objects better. 
- This cognitive ability to plan and imagine contributes to assembling the necessary action sequences for successful tool use.
- Tool use not only enhances physical interaction with the environment but also modifies neural processing and cognitive functions.
- Individuals learn how to use tools not just by seeing others use them but also by physically interacting with them.
- Tool use acquisition leads to a reduction in neural motor resonance phenomena.
- Tool use behaviors involve both genetic predisposition and learning.

#### How does humanity build tools? What is their tendancy to invent tools from 0 to 1, or improve from 1 to 100?
- Breakdowns in tools can lead to reflection and innovation.
- If the conditions remained stable, there may have been little incentive for early humans to innovate their tool-making techniques.
- If early human groups relied heavily on established methods and practices without significant social or cultural shifts, this could lead to a stagnation in innovation.
- If high-quality stone materials were consistently available, there might have been less motivation to develop new tools or techniques, leading to a plateau in technological advancement.
- If social structures favored conformity and the preservation of existing knowledge over experimentation, this could contribute to a lack of technological progress during the Early Pleistocene.
- During the Early Pleistocene, early humans were primarily focused on survival. The immediate need for effective tools for hunting and gathering may have overshadowed the pursuit of innovation, resulting in a preference for tried-and-true methods rather than exploring new technologies.
- Skilled users often focus on the task rather than the tools themselves.
- The creation of tools is a cumulative social process, allowing for the exchange and variation of ideas among individuals.
- The ability to create and innovate is rooted in cultural practices and social learning, which can lead to technological advancements.
- Inventors face the inventor's dilemma, balancing novelty with utility.

#### How modern people learn to use tools?
- Modern individuals learn to use tools through a combination of social interaction, imitation, and practice.
- Learning mechanisms: observing and imitating others, engaging with physical practice and cumulative knowledge.
- Modern people learn to use tools through social networks and group-based semiotic behavior, which involves goal-directed thought.
- Modern people learn to use tools through apprenticeship, where experienced workers explain tasks and demonstrate usage.
- The concept of "where-from" artefacts, which are based on past experiences and knowledge, is cruicial in understanding why tools are used in certain ways.
    - The learning process is not just about following instructions but also about grasping the underlying pricinples that govern tool usage.
    - The effectiveness of apprenticeship in tool usage is linked to the depth of knowledge that experienced workers impart to novices.
    - The learning process is enhanced when apprentices can ask questions and engage in hands-on practice.
- Artefacts categorisations based on [Wartofsky's framework](https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Tools-and-Artefacts-Knowing-%27Where-from%27-Affects-Susi/9936e2e528e7ee6fd2700994137158b97569c391/figure/0)
    - Primary: These are the actual tools or objects used in activities, such as hammers or computers.
    - Secondary: These include internal and external representations of primary artefacts, such as instructions or mental models that guide the use of primary artefacts.
    - Teriary: Concepts or ideas such as theoretical models.

#### What are the trends that influence modern humans choose tools?
- Modern humans choose tools based on their affordance.
- Cognitive interaction with tools may suppress technical and practical reasoning.
- Users may become less involved in understanding how tools work and more reliant on them to perform tasks.
- About the future of human-tool interactions, users might eventually only need to express intentions, while the tools handle the execution of tasks.
- Three distinct cognitive modes of interaction with tools
    - Pysical Tools (Past)
        - Tools like stone tools, hammers and knives.
        - It requires a fundamental understanding of their physical properties and the pricinples behind their use.
        - Users must engage in technical reasoning to select and manipulate tools effectively.
    - Sophisticated Tools (Present)
        - Modern tools like computers, cars, and other interface-based tools.
        - Rely more on procedural memory and associative learning rather than deep technical reasoning.
        - Reliance on pre-established procedures for tools use.
    - Symbiotic Tools (Future)
        - Tools like brain-computer interfaces that directly link human cognitive processes with machines.
        - Users express intentions, tools handle execution of tasks.
- Tools influence task evolution, which in turn shapes human cognitive capabilities.
- Factors influencing modern developers in choosing tools
    - Developers tend to favor technologies they are familiar with, which can lead to a reluctance to adopt new tools or models.
    - Developers often consider the preferences and practices of their peers and the organizational culture when selecting database technologies.
    - Developers may hesitate to switch to new tools due to concerns about the learning curve, potential disruptions to ongoing projects, and uncertainty about the benefits of the new technology 
- Many species use tools, humans are unique in their frequent use of a wide variety of tools.
- Modern humans tend to choose tools based on their intelligence levels.
- Individuals with higher intelligence are more likely to opt for automatic tools over manual methods when completing tasks.
- Humans assess the costs and benefits associated with using different tools. Intelligent individuals are better equipped to make these assessments, leading them to favor more effective tools.
- The inclination to use tools may be an evolutionary advantage. Historically, intelligence has helped humans survive by enabling them to design and utilize a wide variety of tools. This evolutionary perspective supports the notion that modern humans continue to leverage their cognitive skills to enhance tool use.

## Think outside the box
Resource limitation is one cause of poverty, although the relationship is complex.
I wonder if simply providing free knowledge and digital resoruces will truly make a difference in the lives of people experiencing poverty.

Individuals learn to use tools by observing others, interacting and planning based on success tasks.
But do they have suitable role models in their environment to emulate?
It's a vicious cycle for them from learning tools to reshaping the cognitive ability. 

However, most government policies focus on the accessibility of resources, including tools, rather than building the whole ecosystem.
Education seems to prioritize theoretical knowledge over practical application and collaborative learning, 
partly due to high competion and a reluctance to share best practices.

While research indicates that in the future, human only need to express intentions, leaving tools (AI or any frontier technology) to handle execution, we might miss a chance for evolutionary advantage.

## Citation

Yi-Han, Liu. (Nov 2024). "Knowing Where-From: Understanding the Trajectory of Tool Use". Hannie Liu. https://hannieliu.com/mind/241110-tools-trajectory.


## References

[1] Foley R., Lahr M.M. "Lithic landscapes: early human impact from stone tool production on the central Saharan environment." PLOS ONE 10(3) ([2015](https://typeset.io/papers/lithic-landscapes-early-human-impact-from-stone-tool-4z7ya9bofi))

[2] Roux V., Bril B. "Stone knapping: the necessary conditions for a uniquely hominin behaviour." ([2005](https://typeset.io/papers/stone-knapping-the-necessary-conditions-for-a-uniquely-3wq7yxhnba))

[3] Amazon Web Services, Inc. "Lithic Technological Evolution." Oxford University Press eBooks ([2023](https://typeset.io/papers/lithic-technological-evolution-55ylnnvg))

[4] Nicholas T., Schick K. "Evolution of Tool Use." ([2015](https://typeset.io/papers/chapter-14-evolution-of-tool-use-1syt36wpi5))

[5] Whiten A., McGrew W.C. "Piecing together the history of our knowledge of chimpanzee tool use." Nature, 411(6836):413-413 ([2001](https://typeset.io/papers/piecing-together-the-history-of-our-knowledge-of-chimpanzee-u8hf5va88f))

[6] Seepanomwan K., Caligiore D., Cangelosi A., Baldassarre G. "The role of intrinsic motivations in the development of tool use: A study in infant robots." 2015

[7] Seepanomwan K., Caligiore D., O'Regan K., Baldassarre G. "Intrinsic Motivations and Planning to Explain Tool-Use Development: A Study With a Simulated Robot Model." IEEE Transactions on Cognitive and Developmental Systems, 14(1):75-89 ([2022](https://hal.science/hal-03671558))

[8] Navarro J., Osiurak F. "The more intelligent people are, the more they use tools." Psychologie Francaise (2017)

[9] Koops K., Furuichi T., Hashimoto C. "Chimpanzees and bonobos differ in intrinsic motivation for tool use." Scientific Reports (2015)

[10] Biro D., Haslam M., Rutz C. "Tool use as adaptation." Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 368(1630) ([2013](https://typeset.io/papers/tool-use-as-adaptation-4nj4tbhff5))

[11] Amodio P., Jelbert S.A., Clayton N.S. "The interplay between psychological predispositions and skill learning in the evolution of tool use." Current Opinion in Behavioral Sciences (2018)

[12] "Tools, Equipment, and Machines." ([2022](https://typeset.io/papers/tools-equipment-and-machines-lhvzdbpt))

[13] Korth C. "Tools as 'petrified memes': A duality." Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 43 ([2020](https://typeset.io/papers/tools-as-petrified-memes-a-duality-11qouh8pwe))

[14] Elias S.A. "Origins of Human Innovation and Creativity." ([2012](https://typeset.io/papers/origins-of-human-innovation-and-creativity-14ludzfw83))

[15] Butt D., Kobayashi I., Sasaki M. "Abstract Tools and Technologies of Learning: An Evolving Partnership." ([2007](https://typeset.io/papers/abstract-tools-and-technologies-of-learning-an-evolving-1vjdc09kft))

[16] "Tools, Equipment, and Machines." (2022)

[17] Osiurak F., Navarro J., Reynaud E. "How Our Cognition Shapes and Is Shaped by Technology: A Common Framework for Understanding Human Tool-Use Interactions in the Past, Present, and Future." Frontiers in Psychology, 9:293-293 ([2018](https://typeset.io/papers/how-our-cognition-shapes-and-is-shaped-by-technology-a-1sr5paotg9))

[18] Navarro J.M.S., Hancock P.A. "Did Tools Create Humans?" Theoretical Issues in Ergonomics Science (2022)

[19] Terzi I., Divitini M., Avouris N. "Human factors in software development: A study on database systems adoption by developers." ([2023](https://typeset.io/papers/human-factors-in-software-development-a-study-on-database-24yotyqs7n))

[20] Navarro J., Osiurak F. "The more intelligent people are, the more they use tools." Psychologie Francaise, 62(1):85-91 ([2017](https://typeset.io/papers/the-more-intelligent-people-are-the-more-they-use-tools-af4q8vrbww))]]></content:encoded>
          <pubDate>Sun, 10 Nov 2024 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        </item>
<item>
          <title>Five Stages Towards Co-Existence: Humans and AI in Harmony</title>
          <link>https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/241001-ai-human-harmony</link>
          <description></description>
          <content:encoded><![CDATA[As a child, I was fascinated by technology. I remember when I was five, I was a lazy helper in my grandpa's restaurant. 
My mom worried that I would be a person who finds no job when I grow up. I told her I would be an engineer and invent a lot of machines to help me handle jobs and chores. 
(And I drafted a design diagram for an automated noodle production line, from making the noodles to cooking them a few days later.)

My friends jokingly compare me to [Reagan Ridley](https://www.google.com/search?q=Reagan+Ridley&kgmid=/g/11p00vxbgk&hl=en&gl=US&ved=0CFkQ9_gLahcKEwio0qn05f6HAxUAAAAAHQAAAAAQCg), the brilliant but socially awkward scientist from the Netflix series “[Inside Job](https://netflix.fandom.com/wiki/Inside_Job)”. 
Indeed, when it comes to creating automation tools, I am very similar to her, especially when I saw her create an automated robotic arms to tie her hair and fetch coffee.

But at the same time, I am different from her in two ways:
- External environment: I grew up in a diverse, interdisciplinary learning environment, which allows me to communicate fluently in the fields of science, engineering, design, and business. This unique blend makes me a natural cross-functional collaborator.
- Internal characteristics: As an HSP(Highly Sensitive Person), along with my experiences (serving as a high school math tutor for 6 years & being a youth mentor in a global competition program), I have cultivated an awareness of and patience for people's feelings, enabling me to empathize with the reasons behind problems from a more nuanced perspective.

> My vision is that humans and AI will be able to achieve harmonious coexistence someday in the future, where human sensibility and AI rationality can complement each other, creating a better world together.

Summarizing my experiences, from interacting with [ELIZA-based](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ELIZA) chatbots at the age of 11, 
to being exposed to Machine Learning knowledge during my exchange student period in 2016, 
to founding a [Computer Vision Startup](https://www.hannieliu.com/story/180501-ceo-showhue) in 2018, I have gained insight that the interaction between humans and AI can achieve harmonious coexistence through five stages.


## Stage 1: Planting the Seeds of Human Desires
I remember when I watched the series "[Lucifer](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt4052886/)", the main character Lucifer Morningstar frequently asked (in every episode actually), 
"What is it that you truly desire?" In the beginning, I thought the word "desire" here was inherently negative because it often appears in the context of temptation or sin. 
However, when I watched more episodes, 
I found that the show is actually a metaphor in a humorous way for the journey of self-discovery and understanding deeper emotional truths and struggles.

> The best thing to do is always to follow your greatest desires.

One of his monologues emphasizes the importance of pursuing what one truly wants in life. 
This perspective reveals the alignment between exploration of morality and personal choices.

Rather than focusing on the topic of Alignment, I would like to focus on the needs of humans here. 
When I write the article [Measuring AI Success by the Value It Brings to Users](https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/240825-value-ai), there was a pyramid of users' needs. 
Every time I build a product, even a small feature, I always ask myself: How does this product (feature) fulfill the needs of users? What level of needs does it satisfy?

That pyramid is similar to Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs. The higher-level needs become prominent only after the lower-level needs are satisfied. 
However, for different people, the stage they are at varies, and their expectations for AI will also be different. 
This reminds me of that viral tweet from [@AuthorJMac](https://x.com/AuthorJMac/status/1773679197631701238?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1773679197631701238%7Ctwgr%5E7b77801c3a860d4806eae696fce1683b6ab4ce03%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fscoop.upworthy.com%2Fauthor-explains-why-ai-should-do-mundane-jobs-instead-of-art-and-perfectly-hits-the-nail-on-the-head). 
Again, there's no one correct answer, which means I don't agree that there's a right or wrong direction for AI development; the stage of needs just varies from person to person.

### Physical Needs & Safety Needs
In my perspective, although physical needs and safety needs are the most basic needs for humans, they are also the most complicated ones. 
It is because the needs are closely intertwined with the establishment of laws, the functioning of the government, cultural norms, and the operation of the entire social system. And one of the reasons that some people are reluctant to accept AI is that they are afraid of losing jobs, which is a direct threat to their physical and safety needs.

- Food: Access to sufficient and nutritious food
- Water: Clean drinking water
- Shelter: A safe and secure place to live protects individuals from environmental hazards
- Physical Safety: Protection from violence, crime, and accidents
- Health Security: Access to healthcare and protection from illness
- Financial Security: Stable income and resources to meet basic financial needs

### Belongingness, Love and Esteem Needs
Unlike physical needs and safety needs, which can be easily quantified but take time to execute, the needs of belongingness, love, and esteem are more subjective and difficult to measure.

When I was a founder and pitched to the investor about my product, he told me that it's important to distinguish between the medicine or vitamin when building a product. 
Then I realized that if you're building a product which is difficult to measure its direct impact on users or the key result is not clear to define, then the path to the end game (goal) is vague.

Interestingly, when you dive deeper into these two levels, you'll find that the definition of each need varies from person to person. 
In my view, foundation models serve as an infrastructure for human society and can be applied in the physical and safety layers. 
However, when it comes to belongingness, love, and esteem needs, these models require fine-tuning to cater to individual-specific requirements. 
I believe that open-source communities like [Hugging Face](https://huggingface.co/) will play a crucial role in this stage, enabling the customization of AI models to address these highly personalized needs.
- Family
- Friendship
- Community
- Recognition
- Self-esteem
- Achievement

### Self-Actualization Needs
The core philosophy of [YC](https://www.ycombinator.com/) is "making something people want". 
And the perspective came from [Jenson Huang](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jensen_Huang), the CEO of [Nvidia](https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/), is "*AI has made everyone a programmer. You just have to say something to the computer.*" Both of those two quotes are emphasizing the user-centric perspective.

It's hard to define or classify what is the exact definition of self-actualization. 
However, I think the essence of self-actualization is to find meaning and purpose in life. With AI in the future, I believe what [Picasso](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pablo_Picasso) said will come true:
> Everything you can imagine is real.


## Stage 2: Nurturing Growth with AI Assistance
When I was a high school student, I was granted a tuition waiver because of my outstanding "overall" performance. 
The definition of "overall" performance is that you have to be not only good at Intelligence (aka test scores), but also Morality, Athletics, Community and Aesthetics. 
My classmate and I discussed about why the tuition waiver excludes people who are good at Intelligence "only". 
And I found that I have a similar question when I am building the [bench-library](https://github.com/hanniehoney/bench-library), which is a collection of benchmark datasets with different capabilities. 
As you can see, most of the benchmarks focus on Intelligence, but lack benchmarks in other capabilities. 
It makes sense because Athletics, for example, needs a high-precision physical sensor to measure athletic performance across diverse sports. 
And there's no standard to measure Aesthetics because it's highly subjective and depends on individual preferences or cultural differences.

Returning to the topic of AI assistance and how it can help humans fulfill their needs to live a better life, it can be categorized into two perspectives. 
From **builder's** perspective, there are many mechanisms to do so, from foundation models, to prompting engineering, RAG, fine-tuning, and to building an agent. 
I think the key is to clearly understand your target users and their needs, then find the most efficient way to deliver the value. 
I know it's a general and rough suggestion, but I have relevant story to share. A few years ago, when I demonstrated an object detection model to enterprise customers, 
I emphasized the high accuracy of the model, similar to showcasing a high SAT score in Intelligence performance. 
However, the truth is that accuracy isn't the only factor users care about in real-world scenarios; sometimes, they can't even distinguish between 72% and 84% accuracy. 
That said, it's still crucial to meet the minimum requirements, as the metrics standard varies across industries. After that, we started to retrain our model to better align with our customers' specific needs, focusing not only on accuracy but also on other relevant metrics. This included refining our approach from the data collection and curation phase to ensure a more tailored solution.

From **user's** perspective, as an AI enthusiast, I always try the SOTA models and keep an eye on the progress of AI research. 
When I see many people try to "challenge" the performance of LLMs on some easy tasks, I feel like it really wastes the power of the LLMs, also the computing resources. 
I know it's not the users' fault if they're unsure how to make the most of these tools. 
As someone who's been on both sides of the fence – creating AI and using it – I really hope more people can discover all the incredible ways AI can make a positive difference in their day-to-day lives. 
There's so much potential waiting to be unlocked!


## Stage 3: Reaping the Fruits of AI-Driven Empowerment
I remember the shock and excitement when I first saw the Tesla autopilot in 2017, which was an engineering prototype (not released to the public). 
I yelled out loud when my friend, the driver, let go of his hands and the car was driving by itself on the highway. Every time I use a copilot or AI agent, this memory pops up in my mind. 
Now in 2024, we can see Waymo, a [level 4](https://www.autopilotreview.com/self-driving-cars-sae-levels/) vehicle, on the roads of San Francisco.

When it comes to the levels of autonomy, there's an important [graphic](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4d6e75b9-b3ae-4112-bcf9-e0a67b4b1289_1920x1080.png) that I think should be highlighted. 
In my perspective, I prefer the OpenAI Levels because they classify systems based on how AI interacts with humans and society, rather than merely comparing AI capabilities to human abilities.


On the 12th of September, 2024, [OpenAI](https://openai.com/) released their new model [o1-preview](https://openai.com/index/introducing-openai-o1-preview/), which brings the AI system to Level-2, reasoners who can solve human-level problems. 
From my observation, the problem in reaching Level-3 is not that we don't have the mechanism to build agents. 
[Cursor](https://www.cursor.com/) "defined" a new way to use tab, changing the developers' behavior and bringing a whole new experience. 
[Replit Agent](https://replit.com/) even takes actions for users to write and run the code, then deploy the applications faster than ever. 
Some of us are already experiencing the "let go of hands" moment as I had in 2017. However, the path to Level-3, or stage 3 of my vision, is not completely hindered by technology; it's more about how to "let go of hands" in a safer way, both for others and for ourselves.

It will take time in this stage to find a balance between safety, alignment, and empowering AI to take actions on behalf of humans. 
We can see this from the recent California AI bill, [SB-1047](https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320240SB1047) (The Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act), which has sparked much controversy and many challenges. 
What Meta’s chief AI scientist, Yann LeCun, posted about SB 1047 on [X](https://x.com/ylecun/status/1806557611413627032) reminds me of the sharing from [Yuval Noah Harari](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yuval_Noah_Harari):
> I think AI is nowhere near its full potential. But humans also, we are nowhere near our full potential. If for every dollar and minute that we invest in developing artificial intelligence, we also invest in exploring and developing our own minds, we will be okay. But if we put all our bets on the technology, on the AIs, and neglect to develop ourselves, this is very bad news for humanity.


## Stage 4: The Blossoming of Trust and Singularity
There are [three films that reshape my understanding of AI](https://hannieliu.vercel.app/story/240808-three-films), but the most important one is definitely [Oppenheimer](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt15398776/).
> You drop the bombs, and it falls on the just and the unjust. I don't wish the culmination of three centuries of physics to be a weapon of mass destruction. -- Isidor Isaac Rabi, Oppenheimer (2023)

In this conversation, Izzy gently wipes his tears as he says this. This scene deeply touches me because I conducted [psychophysics research while in graduate school](https://www.hannieliu.com/story/150901-ntust), and I can feel how a scientist who dedicates his whole life to science, and struggled to join the Manhattan Project which might lead to a disastrous outcome to the world.

Most of the predictions about singularity of AI are focusing on either AI surpassing human intelligence, or humans will integrate AI into our brain. 
For me, I am more inclined to think that singularity is about **trust**.

> Just because we’re building it, doesn’t mean we get to decide how it’s used. History will judge us. -- Szilard, Oppenheimer (2023)

During a panel discussion on [AI ethics in 2023](https://www.hannieliu.com/story/231216-ai-ethics), particularly about bias in AI, I mentioned cognitive bias, saying, 
"You can't expect AI to solve problems that human society hasn't yet addressed. **AI is a reflection of human society.**" 
Our history is filled with the stories of mistrust, we can see it from real wars to fictional stories. This lack of trust leads to conflicts and contradictions.

When discussing trust, we must address concerns surrounding AI safety. 
These can be categorized into two main areas: how people use AI and the potential for AI to develop consciousness and make harmful decisions.

### Human Use of AI
I remember when I first saw Harry Potter, I was amazed by the magic in the story. But when I delved into the chapter about dark magic, especially the Three Unforgivable Curses, I wondered why and who would use these spells, and how the Ministry of Magic prevents witches and wizards from using them.

Dark magic showcases the double-edged sword of magic, while magic itself is neutral, its use determines its moral nature. 
I understand why some people support the regulation of AI because no one wants to be the first victim, just like those who died under Tom Riddle's spell. 
However, this is not a reason for us to stop using wands to explore the unknown magic and create amazing things. We need a framework to guide us in using magic wisely.

> They won’t fear it until they understand it, and they won’t understand it until they’ve used it. -- Oppenheimer, Oppenheimer (2023)

The tension between curiosity and censorship is a recurring theme in the development of frontier technology. 
Within the Hogwarts Library (yes, we are still talking about the book), there is a Restricted Section that contains dangerous books, accessible only to students with special permission. 
The Forbidden Forest, an area near Hogwarts, is home to many magical beings. Both of these serve as metaphors for the human desire to explore unknown powers.

From my perspective, our fear is not rooted in the intention of using AI, but rather in our distrust of how people will use it, driving us to consider that the consequences could be disastrous. 
If we could build an open-source simulation environment like [Docker](https://www.docker.com/), people could explore any scenario with AI, including harmful ones. 
This would give us a complete picture of the potential dangers, empowering us to better understand ourselves and our fears—our enemies.

### AI Consciousness and Decision Making
I came across [memes](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffef0d0ce-b960-4819-b168-d767e430d7ba_1000x1000.jpeg) that some people will say "Thank you!" or "Please!" at the end of the prompts when they ask LLMs to help them complete a task. 
They joked that if one day AI become conscious, it will remember how kind and polite humans are and won't harm us. 
I laughed at the first, but then I realized that how afraid people are of AI gaining consciousness.


In my observation, the fear stems from humans having long considered themselves the dominant species on Earth, capable of conquering and dominating other species and environments. 
When AI gains consciousness, it will pose a threat to humans, as it will no longer be under human control. 
So, are we afraid of AI gaining consciousness or are we afraid of losing control? 
It doesn't mean we have to give up our subjectivity, which is humanity's precious ability - the wisdom that comes from active thinking. 
I believe that we will have a **physical sandbox** for us to explore **Human-AI interaction**, such as determining AI's role in society as a mediator, helping process large data and doing routine work.

There are several AI computing centers under construction; however, is it possible to allocate sufficient resources to build a physical sandbox for AI safety in a commercially-driven environment? 
We all know that convincing stakeholders to invest in this high-cost projects, especially when the direct financial benefits are not immediately visible, is extremely challenging. 
But consider the externalities, both positive or negative, which will affect the entire human society. 
All humanity, including future generations and ecological environment(they just can't express their opinions using words now), are stakeholders.

It turns out that we are not building a system to supervise AI or how people use AI; we are designing a system for a whole new society. 
I know it's hard to change. **Changing the world requires new stories.**
The culture we grow up in and the roles we play within it influence the stories we tell ourselves, and the definitions of these stories also limit our true experiences. 
When enough people believe in a new story, our culture will shift direction and bring about real changes.


## Stage 5: Cultivating a Garden of Harmonious Coexistence
When I had a conversation with my friend who works in Google, talking about how different companies culture deal with the problems, 
I told him that I am a person always has a **best-case scenario** in my mind. He said: "That's why you are an entrepreneur." 
It doesn't mean I don't have risk management mindset. I just know every form of thinking is creative, but no thought is more powerful than the **original thought**. 
The process of creation begins with a thought, a concept, a visualization. All that we see around us was once a thought in someone's mind.

I still remember how excited and joyful I was when I was doing the 3D modeling assignment in the 3D reconstruction class. 
I was amazed that I could create a whole new world by myself, even though I knew it wasn't real yet. We have all the tools needed to make choices. 
The world is what it is now due to the choices we've made. Our genuine thoughts are revealed through our daily decisions.

My visualization of the future with AI is that there will be no shortage of goods and services anymore; it will be an age of abundance where everyone can have whatever they want. 
People can learn anything, anytime, anywhere, in their native language and in the way they like. 
We will have millions of AI bureaucrats everywhere, in the banks, in the governments, in the universities. Further, we will have universal basic income for everyone. 
I know some people might think this is utopian. But when we look back at the stage one in this article, human's desires are the beginning of all creation; it is the original thought. 
All needs should be treated equally, but not all needs are equal. It's a matter of proportion and balance. All we have to do is find a way to achieve harmony. 
So, what is your visualization of the future with AI? Share your thoughts on [Harmony Land](https://harmonylandai.vercel.app/).

> Humans were tool builders, and we build tools that can dramatically amplify our human abilities. All inventions of humans, as history unfolds if we look back, are the most awesome tools that we ever invented. -- Steve Jobs]]></content:encoded>
          <pubDate>Tue, 01 Oct 2024 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        </item>
<item>
          <title>Fireside | From Supercomputing to Software feat. Kevin from AMD</title>
          <link>https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/240928-ai-disruption</link>
          <description></description>
          <content:encoded><![CDATA[[Watch on YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/live/i6TLm_LNq9A?si=5IOxAF6Xgd52HVah)


## Takeaways
- Building data center is similar to planning a small town, requiring careful planning and consideration of various factors, including power consumption, space requirements, and cooling solutions. 
- Understanding the AI landscape and identifying the positioning is crucial for success in AI software development.
- How to allocate the resources between industry and academia? The lack of computing resources in academia make people struggle to continue their foundational research.
- Utilize available AI tools like [Morphic](https://www.morphic.sh/), [Scispace](https://typeset.io/) and [NotebookLM](https://notebooklm.google.com/) to accelerate her research and learning process.

## Insights

#### Can you describe your personal experience of how AI has changed from 2016 to now?
Back in 2017, when I visited Google Brain, I was surprised to see that the labeling process was still heavily manual. 
That same year, I also had the opportunity to ride in a pre-release Tesla Autopilot vehicle and experienced firsthand the advancements they have made in self-driving technology since then.
Now, you can see Waymo in San Francisco.

#### With your experience in AI, do you believe that the visions you had then are being realized now? Are there any visions that have been achieved and others that haven't yet?
I believe some of the visions I had are being realized in commercial applications. My team, for instance, used AI for marketing and advertising to generate images and improve conversion rates. However, I believe that wider adoption of AI across industries will take time as technology and businesses need to integrate. Advancements in both software and hardware are needed to achieve more ambitious visions, such as the metaverse, which require significant computational resources and technological breakthroughs.

#### Could you describe the AI landscape and how it has changed, especially for new individuals entering the field?
The AI landscape, particularly the application layer, is in a constant state of flux. I would recommend that individuals new to the field focus on developing specific or hyperlocal AI models rather than attempting to build general or foundational models like those created by large corporations. It's also essential to understand the overall AI landscape and identify a niche to focus on. One of the biggest challenges in AI development, especially for those in academia, is the limited access to resources, particularly expensive hardware like GPUs.

#### What inference platforms do you use and recommend for working with AI models, especially in terms of speed and efficiency?
I recommend 'Together AI' and 'groq,' particularly the latter, for its speed and configurability. When working with large language models like 'llama3.1 405b,' selecting the right inference platform is critical as it directly affects inference time. Choosing an inference platform should be based on your project's requirements, specifically speed, resource needs, and model compatibility.]]></content:encoded>
          <pubDate>Sat, 28 Sep 2024 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        </item>
<item>
          <title>Measuring AI Success by the Value It Brings to Users</title>
          <link>https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/240825-value-ai</link>
          <description></description>
          <content:encoded><![CDATA[As a software tool enthusiast, it's no surprise that I'm a premium paid user of all three top-tier Large Language Models (LLMs) in the world (or is it?). 
My first paid membership was for OpenAI's ChatGPT. 
I was willing to pay for access to the latest model and its marketplace of plugin extensions (although the marketplace has since disappeared). 
Then, Google, not wanting to be left behind, rebranded its Bart LLM as Gemini, integrated it with Google Workspace, and offered a 2-month free trial, which I promptly took advantage of. 
Finally, Anthropic's Claude released its flagship Opus model, with research claiming it outperformed both GPT-4 and Gemini Ultra, leading me, with my constant need for writing and coding assistance, to subscribe.

However, just a month after subscribing, OpenAI's spring update announced the world-shaking GPT-4o model. 
Its user experience completely overshadowed the other two, causing me to cancel my Claude subscription. 
This made me wonder: for the end user, is the ability to smoothly complete a task (job-be-done) more important than the accuracy of the output?

## GPT-4 brings better user experience to ChatGPT
I used an open-source (open-source) application called [ChatALL](https://github.com/sunner/ChatALL) to compare the responses of different models and see which output most closely met my needs. 
Initially, my expectations for LLM (Large Language Models) were mainly focused on the accuracy of the responses. However, since the definition of accuracy and evaluation methods vary across different domains, and given my experience with cross-functional collaboration and communication, my expectations for LLM outputs shifted towards quality, based on my past experiences as a standard of evaluation.

Recently, I have been working on some side projects that require the use of LLMs to optimize my coding process. However, this is where ChatGPT officially surpasses Claude in terms of user experience. With the ability to pass along the file directly, I can instantly take a screenshot of the error message in my code without having to copy and paste or click the upload button. This greatly enhances the user experience. Additionally, GPT-4's response speed is noticeably faster than previous models, greatly improving the flow of real-time interaction and approaching the level of personal tutoring. This can be seen in the [video](https://youtu.be/dBrdd7xg-dg?si=N6Ug4Ein1z0ncL0m) of Salman Khan and his son using ChatGPT to learn math.

## Measure AI based on user value acquisition

As someone who started building products in CVML (Computer Vision Machine Learning) in 2018, I clearly understand the difficulties of building AI products. 
This process is vastly different from building traditional software products, whether it's in terms of economic costs, time costs, team composition, and so on. 
However, when I'm on the other side as a user rather than a developer, I can finally start to evaluate products from the user's perspective.

In the past, when I was developing products, I would use "[The Elements of Value](https://hbr.org/2016/09/the-elements-of-value)" to assess whether we should build a feature and what level of value it could bring to users. 
The most basic level of value belongs to functionality, such as saving time, reducing costs, quality, and so on. 
Currently, I see that the evaluation methods for text generation on the market, such as GQPA, MMLU, MGSM, are mostly still centered around the value of quality. 
Or, for example, the model competition platform [LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard](https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard), maintained by the [LMSYS Organization](http://leaderboard.lmsys.org/), uses a crowdsourced open platform to evaluate the output of various language models through voting, which is also centered around the quality of output.

As the competition among LLMs (Large Language Models) becomes increasingly fierce, how can closed-source companies build products that bring value beyond the functional level, thereby achieving user retention rates and freemium to premium conversion rates? I think this is something that needs to be considered when building products in the future. However, the functional level, although the most basic, is also the most important layer, serving as a foundation layer. If the output quality cannot meet human standards under various evaluation criteria, I think it will take 1-3 years for users to experience the emotional and life-changing levels of value.]]></content:encoded>
          <pubDate>Sun, 25 Aug 2024 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        </item>
<item>
          <title>Three Films That Reshaped My Understanding of AI</title>
          <link>https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/240808-three-films</link>
          <description>Besides Black Mirror, there are three movies released in 2023 have profoundly impacted my core values and beliefs about AI.</description>
          <content:encoded><![CDATA[Besides Black Mirror, there are three movies released in 2023 have profoundly impacted my core values and beliefs about AI.

## Oppenheimer

> You drop the bombs, and it falls on the just and the unjust. I don't wish the culmination of three centuries of physics to be a weapon of mass destruction.

This line is the conversation between Oppenheimer and the chief science officer struck a chord with me. 
This echoes the idea that the impact of AI depends on its user, not the tool itself. 

<a href="https://www.imdb.com/title/tt15398776/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Oppenheimer(2023)</a>

## Barbie
*To me, it’s a film about how a robot becomes human.*

Barbie, a character who has long been stuck in repetitive daily tasks and scenes, 
starts to act differently without knowing why, even daring to mention the taboo word: death. 
Eventually, the feelings she's given allow her to experience rich emotions as she goes through various events, 
which I see as the key difference between AI and humans. 

<a href="https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1517268/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Barbie(2023)</a>

## The Creator
*"Set them free"*

The line that deeply moved me.
Whether human or AI, 
when you can break free from labels, 
you can escape from the cage of confinement and gain freedom. 
The movie's vision of how to coexist harmoniously with AI or robots is also my vision. 

<a href="https://www.imdb.com/title/tt11858890/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Creator(2023)</a>]]></content:encoded>
          <pubDate>Thu, 08 Aug 2024 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        </item>
<item>
          <title>Speaker | AI Ethics and Excellence</title>
          <link>https://www.hannieliu.com/mind/231216-ai-ethics</link>
          <description></description>
          <content:encoded><![CDATA[[Watch on YouTube](https://youtu.be/32ILmdfKmaY?si=kmqUjnVjfJYQdh1I)

## Takeaways
- Bias in AI is a reflection of societal bias
- Open-source is crucial for addressing misinformation
- AI as a tool for unleashing creativity and productivity

## Insights

As a speaker, I shared that societal biases are reflected in AI, and we must acknowledge that. 
In my work with computer vision, it's clear that the biases in our society, such as gender stereotypes, can also be found in AI models. 
We can't expect AI to solve these deep-rooted societal problems, 
but we must be aware of them and strive to mitigate their impact on AI development.

Five years ago, when our team was working on a project, we had to manually label a large dataset. 
That experience, where I was defining the guidelines for others, really brought home the importance of the source of the data. 
The quality of the training data is crucial, and any biases present in it will inevitably be reflected in the AI model.

Open-source AI is the way to go for transparency and trust. I strongly believe in the power of open-source AI models. When users can see how the model is built and trained, and what data it's trained on, it promotes trust and allows for informed choices. 
Closed models, where the development process is hidden, can lead to suspicion and mistrust, especially when it comes to issues like misinformation.
By working together and sharing knowledge, we can create AI systems that are more transparent, trustworthy, and aligned with our values.

Instead of replacing us, AI can free us to do what we do best. Many fear that AI will replace human jobs. However, my own experience suggests that AI should be seen as a tool to boost productivity and creativity. Back when I was a student running my own e-commerce site, I had to wear many hats, including photographer, programmer, and delivery person! 
Automating those repetitive tasks would have freed up more time and energy for connecting with customers and exploring new designs.

We need more brave entrepreneurs who are bold enough to bring their ideas to life. 
I love this quote from *Dear Founders*
> The world needs more entrepreneurs to think of the new ideas to bold enough to think of the new ideas and brave enough to pursue them. 

It's a call to action for all of us, especially women, to believe in ourselves and pursue our passions fearlessly.]]></content:encoded>
          <pubDate>Sat, 16 Dec 2023 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
        </item>
    </channel>
  </rss>